Friday, January 22, 2010

Conference Championship Predictions

Sorry this post didn't get up sooner, but I'm still waiting to hear about the Raiders job.

There's still time to vote on the People's Pigskin lineup for the conference championship round of the NFL Fantasy Playoff Challenge. One reminder: Drew Brees would get double the points if he makes the lineup, and the New York Jets defense/special teams would get triple the points.

Now it's time to do something that thousands of people across the country are doing right now, online and off: make predictions for the National Football League conference championships. Last week's forecasts went 2-2, leaving us with a postseason record of 4-4. It's time to break out of mediocrity.

AFC Championship: Indianapolis Colts vs. New York Jets. The last time these two franchises met (which wasn't Super Bowl III, no matter what the NFL Network might want you to believe), Peyton Manning and company left the game in the third quarter, ending the Colts' chances for an undefeated season and easing the Jets path to the playoffs.

And how much influence will that have on Sunday's championship game? The same amount of influence that the result of Super Bowl III will have: Jack Squat.

Clearly, Mark Sanchez has defied expectations this postseason. (It always helps to have a solid defense and a running game that doesn't humiliate itself.) Nevertheless, it's still Peyton Manning's world, and the rest of us are just watching it. The one thing this season has shown us is that Peyton could direct touchdown drives even if Robin Williams' character from "The Best of Times" lined up at receiver. This game could come down to somebody leading a 90-second scoring drive at the end. If that's the case, which quarterback do you want? The Colts take this one.

NFC Championship: New Orleans Saints vs. Minnesota Vikings. One team lead the NFL in scoring this season and has the quarterback who threw for the most touchdowns this season. The other team is being led by a quarterback last seen performing "Pants on the Ground." No, I'm not linking to Brett Favre's version or the original. Both songs have gotten far more attention than they deserve.

So has Favre.

Yes, he proved that he can still throw a football down the field. Yes, his interceptions and fumbles dropped considerably this season. However, Drew Brees beat Favre this season in yardage, completion percentage, touchdowns and quarterback rating. If you look at statistics for this postseason, Brees is still beating Favre in percentage and yardage. And given the way Favre handled everything from his signing with the Vikings to his relationship with Brad Childress, Brees has to be leading in one other crucial category: karma. All that adds up to the first Super Bowl appearance in the Saints' history.

Remember to vote in our polls, and do whatever you can to help the victims of the Haiti earthquake. We'll be back Sunday with poll results and an announcement.
http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/news/story?id=4767366

2 comments:

  1. The majority of people are taking the Colts to kill the Jets this
    week but you have to consider how well New York matches up against
    Indy. Indy has the worst running game in the league, and is ALL
    Peyton. The Jets have the #1 pass-defence and if they can put the
    clamps on Peyton early… it could very well be a Jets win. TheCoach
    isn’t calling a J-E-T-S JETS JETS JETS win but they will cover the
    spread. I know Indy shut down Baltimore’s running game last week
    but the Jets strive on being quick and elusive.. something Ray Rice
    isn’t…

    Minnesota and New Orleans is going to be such a good game. I was
    hoping all season long these two would meet up in the NFC
    Championship and honestly.. either team could team this game. The
    Saints are -3.0 favourites and historically home team get given three
    points for the home-field advantage… so basically this game is a
    pick-em and there is ONE thing that I like about the Saints and its
    that home-field advantage. Last week Warner and Romo combined for 7
    sacks and 4 fumbles largely in part to not being able to communicate
    with their offence. The SuperDome is NUTS and I don’t care how much
    experience Favre has, the crowd can help a team and also hurt the
    other so much.

    Feel free to check out my picks with scores (and of course
    cheerleader pictures) @
    http://www.lionsdenu.com/category/sports/nfl-guide-2009-2010/

    Best of luck to all this week,
    Regards,
    TheCoach

    ReplyDelete