Saturday, February 6, 2010

The Obligatory Super Bowl Prediction

There's still time for you to vote on the People's Pigskin's lineup for the final round in the NFL Fantasy Playoff Challenge. The polls will close Sunday in time to set the Internet's favorite fantasy football lineup for Super Bowl XLIV.

In the meantime, before we switch our focus to fantasy NASCAR racing, it's time to make one last football prediction: the Super Bowl. There are plenty of places to find matchup breakdowns and thoughts on things like prop bets and whether Reggie Bush should allow himself to get within 100 yards of a Kardashian. But I couldn't call myself a football writer of any sort (fantasy or otherwise) without offering a prediction for Sunday's game between the Indianapolis Colts and the New Orleans Saints.

In fantasy football terms, you would be happy to have just about any of the starters on either team, offense or defense. Both quarterbacks were in the top four at their position in ESPN fantasy points this season. Each team had a running back and a wide receiver in the top 20. Dallas Clark ranked 2nd among tight ends (and will stay in the top five until someone decides he's not a tight end just because the Colts call him one), but Jeremy Shockey also made the top 20. Dwight Freeney's injury might make the Colts defense slightly less valuable, but both defenses ranked in the top 20. (The Saints ranked third.)

In other words, no matter who wins this year's Super Bowl, you could point to fantasy football stats to explain why.

The People's Pigskin predictions went 2-0 in the conference championship round, raising the season record to 6-4 and guaranteeing a winning postseason for the forecasts. But it nearly wasn't so. The Minnesota Vikings were in position to at least give its kicker a chance to win the game in regulation. If Brett Favre doesn't throw one of the dumbest interceptions of the year, the Vikings probably beat the Saints. And that was despite the fact that the Vikings had already fumbled the ball six times and turned it over four times before that throw.

If the Saints are hoping for a similar performance from the Colts in general or Peyton Manning in particular, they must have gotten a hold of some bad gumbo. The Colts will take care of the ball and take care of the Saints.

We'll be back tomorrow with the poll results. In the meantime, enjoy the Bud Shootout, a sneak preview of the NASCAR season that's just getting started as football season winds down.

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